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Alternative Thinking
Yield Floors and Asset Allocation: When Is the Role of Bonds Impaired?
Q2 2021
We explore how different levels of a so-called “floor” for bond yields would affect the return generation and diversification properties of bonds. We find that only very restrictive yield floor assumptions would have the potential to materially impact the role of bonds in a portfolio over the next year.
Alternative Thinking
2022 Capital Market Assumptions for Major Asset Classes
Q1 2022
We update our estimates of medium-term (5- to 10-year) expected returns for major asset classes. We also include an analysis that attempts to reconcile ever-lower expected returns with ever-higher realized returns and suggests practical strategic steps to boost portfolio expected returns.